UFC on FOX 27 Odds: Souza vs. Brunson 2 Prediction

The next UFC event — UFC on Fox 27 — goes down this Saturday (Jan. 27th) and features a main-event tilt between Ronaldo”Jacare” Souza and Derek Brunson. This is the second time both of these middleweights will face off, with Souza winning via knockout in their first go around in 2012. But time is a funny thing, and six decades later, it is Brunson riding the wave of momentum while Souza regroups after a devastating loss that cost him a shot at the UFC middleweight title.
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Even though this isn’t the tastiest primary class the UFC has ever served, it’s a captivating contrast in styles, and each MMA event, no matter the hype, creates possible betting opportunities. Where’s the wise money going for Souza vs Brunson 2?
Stay tuned for a broader look at the card in Best Bets for UFC on Fox 27 that Thursday.
Ronaldo ”Jacare” Souza (-160) vs. Derek Brunson (+135)
Jacare Souza fighting in Strikeforce.
Jacare Souza. Photo by LowLight (YouTube) [CC Permit ].
This is your classic battle of styles. Ronaldo Souza (24-5, 17 admissions ) is one of the best jiu-jitsu practitioners to step foot into a UFC Octagon while Derek Brunson (18-5, 10 KOs) loves to put people to sleep with his strong fists.
Initially both of these combatants met was back in 2012 under the aged Strikeforce banner, and it was really Souza who was able to place Brunson to sleep with a fast right hook, just one of three career knockouts for the Brazilian.
Via GIPHY
Six years later, Brunson, a former Division II All-American wrestler (and cheerleader!) , has an opportunity for revenge.
His opponent is one of the most feared grapplers on the planet, and it has ended 58-percent of his own struggles via submission. As he revealed in the first matchup, he is not too shabby in casting leather either. He lands a decent 2.28 significant strikes per minute and has a spectacular accuracy of 44.1-percent.
Souza suffered a devastating loss to Robert Whittaker through head kick at his final struggle (April 2017), but he has also won 10 of his last 12 and hasn’t dropped back-to-back conflicts in his career. A win on Saturday would place Souza’s title back into middleweight title picture, and time is of the essence for the 38-year-old.
At 34, Derek Brunson’s own career clock is getting late. He rebounded from back-to-back losses to Whittaker and Anderson Silva with KO wins over Dan Kelly (June 2017) and Lyoto Machida (October 2017), rising up the middleweight rankings in the process. Knocking guys out is not anything new for its hard-hitting middleweight, who averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute using a striking accuracy of 32.1-percent. He has won 61-percent of his fights via KO, and it has generated knockouts in each of the past six victories. Interestingly, he’s never been submitted in his professional career.
The contrasting styles make this a very interesting battle for MMA purists. Normally, it’s wise to lean towards the high level grappler over the energy puncher, but Souza’s age combined with his very last performance suggest a potential Brunson upset. Search for the American to utilize his speed, power, and five-inch achieve advantage (77??? vs 72???) to attempt to end things early, while using his elite wrestling to keep the fight standing.
At the moment, Brunson is listed at +135 on MyBookie.ag. It’s a good value bet worth taking now.

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